Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 3.754969 4.333864 4.969946 5.720416 6.581396 7.538054 8.681534
2025-01-05 3.011810 3.783432 4.702542 5.876903 7.336670 9.090825 11.358592
2025-01-12 2.422032 3.276327 4.368086 5.863163 7.855296 10.416683 13.959428
2025-01-19 1.887461 2.729243 3.875231 5.545220 7.912999 11.146487 15.895703
2025-01-26 1.651093 2.534222 3.806340 5.765737 8.701496 12.930569 19.481002
2025-02-02 1.508322 2.443854 3.862172 6.158972 9.775883 15.242608 24.123860
2025-02-09 1.333521 2.272019 3.763918 6.294527 10.467076 17.059025 28.248855
2025-02-16 1.178372 2.103965 3.641713 6.364906 11.050450 18.762236 32.394713
2025-02-23 1.009996 1.885209 3.401250 6.197564 11.206222 19.773757 35.507479
2025-03-02 0.852523 1.659878 3.114909 5.904290 11.094165 20.300768 37.827072
2025-03-09 0.765745 1.550733 3.018606 5.935387 11.557184 21.871958 42.172034
2025-03-16 0.670783 1.411025 2.845357 5.795719 11.678512 22.827308 45.480194
2025-03-23 0.636937 1.391048 2.904431 6.125209 12.765122 25.755203 52.988480
2025-03-30 0.594524 1.347025 2.909908 6.348560 13.672248 28.450631 60.391143
2025-04-06 0.537858 1.263569 2.822589 6.366775 14.160313 30.371280 66.468331
2025-04-13 0.460403 1.121492 2.590418 6.040550 13.872639 30.662962 69.174272
2025-04-20 0.436329 1.098813 2.617130 6.291570 14.879497 33.805193 78.404895
2025-04-27 0.426500 1.108598 2.718529 6.726886 16.357560 38.142696 90.811318
2025-05-04 0.398799 1.069898 2.701058 6.878886 17.196598 41.149854 100.551310
2025-05-11 0.369571 1.022682 2.656386 6.958162 17.871073 43.855835 109.911238
2025-05-18 0.329727 0.941213 2.515441 6.777006 17.881872 45.000413 115.661869
2025-05-25 0.288084 0.848034 2.331212 6.457721 17.499237 45.143307 118.948203
2025-06-01 0.267046 0.809083 2.283553 6.492142 18.035124 47.613829 128.394251